Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Metz, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday


	Flavio Cobolli		Lorenzo Sonego

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.74	2.07	Watch
	1.79	2.13
	1.58	2.30	Watch
	1.74	2.09	Watch
	1.75	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.58)	2.12 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flavio Cobolli
55.2%

Lorenzo Sonego
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Lorenzo Sonego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Flavio Cobolli - Lorenzo Sonego Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Cobolli (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Sonego (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Sonego (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Flavio Cobolli will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Cobolli (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Sonego (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cobolli is ranked ATP: 22. Sonego is ranked ATP: 42.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sonego may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cobolli might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Flavio Cobolli - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 59.28%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Paris
28.10.25	Ben Shelton - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Flavio Cobolli - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
23.10.25	Jannik Sinner - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Tomas Machac - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
17.10.25	James Duckworth - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWL
- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Metz
03.11.25	Jan Choinski - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ATP Paris
30.10.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
27.10.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
20.10.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWL

Flavio Cobolli - Lorenzo Sonego: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide