Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Francis Tiafoe		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.3	1.34
	3.38	1.37
	3.53	1.32	Watch
	3.3	1.33
	3.38	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.65)	1.34 ↑ (1.27)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
28.4%

Alexander Zverev
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

74.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Alexander Zverev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Francis Tiafoe - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Zverev will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zverev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3 Games - Tiafoe (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 1 - 50%). Zverev (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 22. Zverev is ranked ATP: 4.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 0.

Tiafoe is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zverev has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zverev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zverev is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:21. (average 0.7:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Zverev - the odds 1.27 are the expected chance of winning is 74.19%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Jenson Brooksby - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
28.02.26	Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Francis Tiafoe - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Francis Tiafoe - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWW
- Alexander Zverev
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Matteo Berrettini - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
25.02.26	Alexander Zverev - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Alexander Zverev - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
29.01.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alexander Zverev	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Laver Cup
22.09.24	Alexander Zverev - Francis Tiafoe	2:1
ATP Roland Garros
03.06.23	Alexander Zverev - Francis Tiafoe	3:1
ATP Vienna
31.10.21	Francis Tiafoe - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP Beijing
30.09.19	Francis Tiafoe - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP US Open
29.08.19	Alexander Zverev - Francis Tiafoe	3:2
ATP Paris
31.10.18	Alexander Zverev - Francis Tiafoe	2:0
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.17	Francis Tiafoe - Alexander Zverev	2:1

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