Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday


	Francis Tiafoe		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.42	2.8	Watch
	1.47	2.9
	1.65	2.24	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.5)	2.72 ↑ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
64.9%

Mattia Bellucci
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	0%	8.7%

Francis Tiafoe - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: Francis Tiafoe will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Francis Tiafoe will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 28. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 110.

Tiafoe is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bellucci's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bellucci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tiafoe will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tiafoe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Francis Tiafoe - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63.63%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Acapulco
25.02.26	Francis Tiafoe - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Francis Tiafoe - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
20.02.26	Learner Tien - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Zachary Svajda - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Rinky Hijikata - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Acapulco
25.02.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Rinky Hijikata - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Sebastian Korda - Mattia Bellucci	Canceled ✺
ATP Delray Beach
17.02.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
09.02.26	Brandon Nakashima - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
27.05.24	Mattia Bellucci - Francis Tiafoe	2:3

Upcoming Matches