Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Francisco Cerundolo		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	4	1.24	Watch
	3.75	1.28	Watch
	4.31	1.26
	3.78	1.27	Watch
	3.6	1.29	Watch
	3.75	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↓ (4)	1.28 ↑ (1.25)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
24.9%

Daniil Medvedev
75.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

76.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	0%	81.2%

Francisco Cerundolo - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Daniil Medvedev will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 19. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 10.

Cerundolo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Medvedev is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Medvedev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Medvedev is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniil Medvedev - the odds 1.25 are the expected chance of winning is 76.19%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
ATP Santiago
28.02.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLW
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Rei Sakamoto - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
15.03.26	Daniil Medvedev - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Jack Draper - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
11.03.26	Daniil Medvedev - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWWW

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