Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Zizou Bergs		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
			Watch
	3.2	1.35
	3.46	1.35
	3.25	1.31	Watch
	3.28	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.21)	1.34 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zizou Bergs
28.8%

Casper Ruud
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zizou Bergs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Zizou Bergs - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: Casper Ruud will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Casper Ruud will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bergs is ranked ATP: 45. Ruud is ranked ATP: 12.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ruud may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ruud is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bergs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
ATP Shanghai
01.10.25	Sebastian Korda - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
27.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Zizou Bergs - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
17.09.25	Zizou Bergs - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.25	Alex De Minaur - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLL
- Casper Ruud
ATP Tokyo
29.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Casper Ruud	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Casper Ruud - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Casper Ruud - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Casper Ruud - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
19.09.25	Casper Ruud - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWW

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