Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday


	Grigor Dimitrov		Gabriel Diallo

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.37	3.15	Watch
	1.38	3.3
	1.4	2.91	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.38	3.08	Watch
	1.38	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.44)	3.04 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grigor Dimitrov
68.7%

Gabriel Diallo
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grigor Dimitrov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Gabriel Diallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.4%	0%	15.6%

Grigor Dimitrov - Gabriel Diallo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Dimitrov (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Diallo (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Grigor Dimitrov will win (27 of 32 users predict this - 84.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.8% – 96.96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Grigor Dimitrov will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Dimitrov (votes: 9 - 75%). Diallo (votes: 3 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 16. Diallo is ranked ATP: 78.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Diallo could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

Dimitrov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
10.04.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
09.04.25	Valentin Vacherot - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWW
- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Cameron Norrie - Gabriel Diallo	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Gabriel Diallo - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	Gabriel Diallo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Canceled
24.04.25	Zizou Bergs - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Gabriel Diallo - Borna Coric	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WW?WL

Grigor Dimitrov - Gabriel Diallo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide