Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 May 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rome (Italy) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	03:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:00	SportKlub
Brazil	14:00	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	20:00	Max Sport 1
Croatia	19:00	SportKlub
Czech Republic	19:00	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	19:00	TV2 Sport
Finland	20:00	MTV Katsomo
France	19:00	Eurosport 2
Germany	19:00	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	18:00	Sport TV2
Romania	20:00	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	19:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	19:00	SportKlub


	Hamad Medjedovic		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.1	1.38	Watch
	3.19	1.4
	3.19	1.41
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.13	1.37	Watch
	3.2	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (3.02)	1.38 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamad Medjedovic
30.7%

Daniil Medvedev
69.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamad Medjedovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamad Medjedovic than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.2%	0%	87.8%

Hamad Medjedovic - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Users Predictions: Daniil Medvedev will win (43 of 49 users predict this - 87.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 96.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Medjedovic is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Medvedev is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Medvedev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Medvedev is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Medvedev to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamad Medjedovic
ATP Roma
11.05.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
09.05.24	Alexei Popyrin - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
07.05.24	Jeffrey John Wolf - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
06.05.24	Hamad Medjedovic - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.24	Hamad Medjedovic - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWL
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Roma
11.05.24	Jack Draper - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
02.05.24	Daniil Medvedev - Jiri Lehecka	Medvedev D. retired ✺
30.04.24	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
29.04.24	Daniil Medvedev - Sebastian Korda	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Daniil Medvedev - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 W?WWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Vienna
30.10.26	Adrian Mannarino - Daniil Medvedev	✺

Hamad Medjedovic - Daniil Medvedev