Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 6, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday


	Henrique Rocha		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.14	1.63
	2.21	1.71
	2.14	1.63	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.13	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.45)	1.65 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
43.4%

Roman Safiullin
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henrique Rocha's performance.

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roman Safiullin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Henrique Rocha - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Rocha will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Safiullin will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rocha: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 120. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 144.

Rocha has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Safiullin is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Safiullin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Safiullin will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rocha won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Zsombor Piros - Henrique Rocha	Canceled ✺
04.05.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Henrique Rocha	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
21.04.26	Daniel Vallejo - Henrique Rocha	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Henrique Rocha - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ?LLWL
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
03.05.26	Jaime Faria - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Lukas Neumayer - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
28.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Cezar Cretu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Henrique Rocha	2:0

Henrique Rocha - Roman Safiullin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide