Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday


	Hubert Hurkacz		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.87	1.91
	1.87	1.95
	1.92	1.92	Watch
	1.9	1.92
	1.88	1.97	Watch
	1.88	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 (1.89)	1.93 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 25.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
50.6%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65%	0%	35%

Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hubert Hurkacz will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 34., and Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 26..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hurkacz won 2.

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Davidovich Fokina could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Hurkacz has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:14 (averaging 1.1:2 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Shanghai
11.10.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	Novak Djokovic - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
08.10.26	Hubert Hurkacz - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
05.10.26	Alex De Minaur - Hubert Hurkacz	Hurkacz H. Retired ✺
04.10.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWW?W
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Shanghai
11.10.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
01.10.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
29.09.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Chengdu
29.09.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2
ATP United Cup
31.12.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2
ATP Wimbledon
27.06.22	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Hubert Hurkacz	3:2
ATP Madrid
04.05.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1
ATP Montpellier
25.02.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0
ATP US Open
02.09.20	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Hubert Hurkacz	3:1

Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide