Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Hubert Hurkacz		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	2.30	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.65	Watch
	2.28	1.66	Watch
	2.35	1.62
	2.44	1.57	Watch
	2.23	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.03)	1.62 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 24.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
41.4%

Karen Khachanov
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Hubert Hurkacz - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Khachanov will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hurkacz (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Khachanov (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Khachanov (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Hurkacz (votes: 1 - 25%). Khachanov (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 41., and Khachanov is ranked ATP: 26..

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Hurkacz may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Khachanov in today's match, at odds of 1.68.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Hurkacz has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Beijing
02.10.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Learner Tien - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
29.09.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Lloyd Harris - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWW
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Beijing
02.10.26	Alex Molcan - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Karen Khachanov - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
11.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Karen Khachanov	3:0 ✺
09.09.26	Karen Khachanov - Alexander Blockx	Blockx A. Retired ✺
07.09.26	Karen Khachanov - Learner Tien	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWL?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
21.10.19	Hubert Hurkacz - Karen Khachanov	0:2

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