Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mauthausen, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mauthausen 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Hugo Gaston		Darwin Blanch

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Hugo Gaston
60.7%

Darwin Blanch
39.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.9%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hugo Gaston's form might have worsened.

Darwin Blanch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Darwin Blanch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darwin Blanch than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Gaston is ranked ATP: 115. Blanch is ranked ATP: 244.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Gaston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gaston is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Hugo Gaston - Matthias Ujvary	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Elmer Moller - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.04.26	Martin Landaluce - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Timofey Skatov - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWW
- Darwin Blanch
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Jurij Rodionov - Darwin Blanch	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Darwin Blanch - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.04.26	Daniil Glinka - Darwin Blanch	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Darwin Blanch - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Yibing Wu - Darwin Blanch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWL

Hugo Gaston - Darwin Blanch