Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday


	Flavio Cobolli		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.62	2.42
	1.55	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.47	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 (1.55)	2.47 ↑ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flavio Cobolli
61.4%

Ignacio Buse
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flavio Cobolli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Ignacio Buse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flavio Cobolli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ignacio Buse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Flavio Cobolli - Ignacio Buse Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cobolli will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Buse will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cobolli: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cobolli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Cobolli (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cobolli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cobolli is ranked ATP: 12. Buse is ranked ATP: 62.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cobolli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cobolli will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Ignacio Buse - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.74%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Roma
11.05.26	Flavio Cobolli - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Flavio Cobolli - Terence Atmane	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
30.04.26	Flavio Cobolli - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Daniil Medvedev - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Daniel Vallejo - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWW
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Hamburg
17.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Francis Tiafoe - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL

Flavio Cobolli - Ignacio Buse: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide