Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

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	Leandro Riedi		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	11	1.05	Watch
	8.75	1.06
	10	1.05
	11.25	1.06
	9.81	1.05	Watch
	10	1.05
	12.6	1.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.49 ↓ (11.55)	1.05 ↓ (1.06)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leandro Riedi
9.1%

Alex De Minaur
90.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.4%

91.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leandro Riedi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	0%	38.9%

Leandro Riedi - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Riedi will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). De Minaur will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riedi: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Riedi (votes: 5 - 71.4%). De Minaur (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 31.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Riedi is ranked ATP: 435. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 8.

Riedi is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, De Minaur has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Riedi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, De Minaur is the clear favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leandro Riedi
ATP US Open
30.08.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Leandro Riedi	Majchrzak K. retired ✺
28.08.25	Leandro Riedi - Francisco Cerundolo	3:2 ✺
26.08.25	Leandro Riedi - Pedro Martinez Portero	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Leandro Riedi - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Otto Virtanen - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 ?WWWW
- Alex De Minaur
ATP US Open
30.08.25	Daniel Altmaier - Alex De Minaur	Altmaier D. retired ✺
28.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
26.08.25	Christopher OConnell - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Alex De Minaur - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
05.08.25	Alex De Minaur - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 ?WWLL

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