Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday


	Jakub Mensik		Tallon Griekspoor

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.32	3.15	Watch
	1.4	3.21
	1.36	3.24	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.36	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.45)	3.18 ↑ (2.76)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
70.1%

Tallon Griekspoor
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Tallon Griekspoor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jakub Mensik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallon Griekspoor than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tallon Griekspoor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	0%	15%

Jakub Mensik - Tallon Griekspoor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Mensik (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Griekspoor (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Mensik (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Griekspoor (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jakub Mensik will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Mensik (votes: 6 - 60%). Griekspoor (votes: 4 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mensik is ranked ATP: 13. Griekspoor is ranked ATP: 25.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Griekspoor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mensik is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Jakub Mensik - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 65.62%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Tallon Griekspoor - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 34.38%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Dubai
25.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
20.02.26	Arthur Fils - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Jannik Sinner	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWLWW
- Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Dubai
25.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Otto Virtanen - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
13.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWW

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