Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday


	Jan Choinski		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.55	2.29	Watch
	1.67	2.31
	1.52	2.36	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.49)	2.25 ↓ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
58.5%

Roman Safiullin
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Jan Choinski - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Choinski will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Safiullin will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 123. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 216.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Choinski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Choinski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Jan Choinski - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 62.45%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Jan Choinski - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Miguel Damas - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Roman Safiullin - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLW
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Roman Safiullin - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Roman Safiullin - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Roman Safiullin - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Clement Chidekh - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Alexander Blockx - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Roman Safiullin - Jan Choinski	1:2

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