Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Roman Safiullin		Jan Choinski

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.7	2	Watch
	1.69	2.26
	1.72	2.01	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.71	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.08)	2.04 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
54.4%

Jan Choinski
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roman Safiullin's performance.

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jan Choinski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Roman Safiullin - Jan Choinski Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Choinski will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Safiullin (votes: 1 - 50%). Choinski (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 199. Choinski is ranked ATP: 122.

Choinski has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Choinski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
02.03.26	Roman Safiullin - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Clement Chidekh - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Alexander Blockx - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Roman Safiullin - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:3 ✺
26.08.25	Gael Monfils - Roman Safiullin	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLLW
- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Mae Malige - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
22.02.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Jan Choinski - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
16.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Quentin Halys - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWLW

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