Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday


	Roman Safiullin		Gilles Arnaud Bailly

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.74	1.98	Watch
	1.81	2.09
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.71	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.73)	2.01 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
53.5%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Roman Safiullin - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Bailly will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Safiullin (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Bailly (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 216. Bailly is ranked ATP: 212.

Bailly has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bailly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Roman Safiullin - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Roman Safiullin - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Clement Chidekh - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Alexander Blockx - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Roman Safiullin - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL
- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Challenger
20.03.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Saba Purtseladze	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLL

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