Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday


	Francisco Cerundolo		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.36	1.57	Watch
	2.44	1.62
	2.41	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.41)	1.58 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
39.7%

Alexander Bublik
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Cerundolo (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Bublik will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 1 - 10%). Bublik (votes: 9 - 90%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 21. Bublik is ranked ATP: 16.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Bublik could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cerundolo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Vienna
21.10.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Learner Tien - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
21.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLL
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Vienna
20.10.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Alexander Bublik - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Adrian Mannarino - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
23.09.25	Valentin Royer - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Alexander Bublik - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Bublik	3:0

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