Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11


	Jannik Sinner		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	1.02	19	Watch
	1.01	16
	1.02	27
	1.02	14.59	Watch
	1.01	26
	1.01	28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.02 ↓ (1.03)	21.77 ↑ (12.67)

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jannik Sinner
95.5%

Alexei Popyrin
4.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

92.5%

7.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Jannik Sinner - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sinner will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Popyrin will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Sinner (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +6.5 Games - Popyrin (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sinner (votes: 1 - 50%). Popyrin (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sinner is ranked ATP: 1. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 60.

Sinner is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Popyrin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Sinner is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Jannik Sinner - the odds 1.03 are the expected chance of winning is 92.48%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jannik Sinner
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
03.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Jannik Sinner - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Jannik Sinner - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWW
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Alexei Popyrin - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	Alexei Popyrin - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Alexei Popyrin - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.26	Alexei Popyrin - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Houston
03.04.26	Alexei Popyrin - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Doha
18.02.26	Alexei Popyrin - Jannik Sinner	0:2
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexei Popyrin	3:0
ATP Madrid
05.05.21	Alexei Popyrin - Jannik Sinner	2:0

Jannik Sinner - Alexei Popyrin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide