Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Eastbourne (United Kingdom), grass - Semi-finals

Date: 28 June 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
France	beIN Sports France 2
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Hungary	Match 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Jasmine Paolini		Darya Kasatkina

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2	1.78
	2.05	1.72	Watch
	2.13	1.8
	2.15	1.77
	2	1.8
	2.08	1.75	Watch
	2.16	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.88)	1.76 ↓ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jasmine Paolini
45.8%

Darya Kasatkina
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	0%	52.9%

Jasmine Paolini - Darya Kasatkina Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Paolini will win (votes: 16 - 47.1%). Kasatkina will win (votes: 18 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasatkina: 36.1% – 69.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Paolini is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kasatkina is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kasatkina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Paolini won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Eastbourne
27.06.24	Katie Boulter - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
26.06.24	Elise Mertens - Jasmine Paolini	Mertens E. retired ✺
WTA Roland Garros
08.06.24	Iga Swiatek - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
06.06.24	Jasmine Paolini - Mirra Andreeva	2:0 ✺
05.06.24	Jasmine Paolini - Elena Rybakina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 W?LWW
- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Eastbourne
27.06.24	Darya Kasatkina - Emma Raducanu	2:0 ✺
26.06.24	Darya Kasatkina - Yue Yuan	2:1 ✺
25.06.24	Darya Kasatkina - Xin Yu Wang	2:0 ✺
WTA Berlin
20.06.24	Darya Kasatkina - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
17.06.24	Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Palermo
21.07.23	Darya Kasatkina - Jasmine Paolini	1:2
03.08.20	Jasmine Paolini - Darya Kasatkina	2:1
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.19	Darya Kasatkina - Jasmine Paolini	2:0
WTA Prague
01.05.18	Jasmine Paolini - Darya Kasatkina	2:0

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