Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Jesper De Jong		Max Houkes

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.28	3.35
	1.33	3.56
	1.24	3.6	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.28	3.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.35)	3.44 ↑ (2.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
72.7%

Max Houkes
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Jesper De Jong - Max Houkes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

De Jong is ranked ATP: 91. Houkes is ranked ATP: 251.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Houkes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, De Jong is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
ATP Challenger
17.03.26	Jesper De Jong - Benjamin Hassan	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
21.02.26	Jan Choinski - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.26	Jesper De Jong - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
11.02.26	Karen Khachanov - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
08.02.26	Sumit Nagal - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLW
- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
17.03.26	Louis Wessels - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Alexander Donski - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Max Houkes - Luka Pavlovic	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Max Houkes - Ryan Nijboer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWL

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