Match Info

Date: 20 October 2022, Thursday


	Mackenzie McDonald		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.34	3.2
	1.32	3.4
	1.3	3.3
	1.35	3.46
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.33	3.32	Watch
	1.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 (1.33)	3.34 ↑ (2.98)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
71.6%

Francesco Passaro
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.5%	0%	34.5%

Mackenzie McDonald - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 19 - 65.5%). Passaro will win (votes: 10 - 34.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for McDonald: 48.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Passaro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match McDonald is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches McDonald won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Florence
14.10.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
13.10.22	Francesco Passaro - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
12.10.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Jenson Brooksby	2:1 ✺
ATP Tokyo
04.10.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Soon Woo Kwon	1:2 ✺
03.10.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Kaichi Uchida	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Napoli
17.10.22	Francesco Passaro - Filip Misolic	2:1 ✺
16.10.22	Francesco Passaro - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
ATP Florence
13.10.22	Francesco Passaro - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
11.10.22	Zhizhen Zhang - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
11.10.22	David Goffin - Francesco Passaro	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Florence
13.10.22	Francesco Passaro - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2

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