Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Munich, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday


	Jiri Lehecka		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.58	2.33
	1.63	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.63	2.29	Watch
	1.58	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.37)	2.32 ↓ (3.12)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiri Lehecka
59.2%

Luciano Darderi
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiri Lehecka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jiri Lehecka's form might have worsened.

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luciano Darderi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jiri Lehecka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luciano Darderi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.1%	0%	60.9%

Jiri Lehecka - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Lehecka will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Darderi will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Lehecka (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Darderi (votes: 11 - 68.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 Games - Darderi (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Lehecka (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Darderi (votes: 12 - 70.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lehecka is ranked ATP: 28. Darderi is ranked ATP: 48.

Lehecka is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Darderi is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Lehecka will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Darderi to win the game is with odds 2.32.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lehecka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.25	Jiri Lehecka - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
07.04.25	Jiri Lehecka - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.25	Gael Monfils - Jiri Lehecka	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Cameron Norrie - Jiri Lehecka	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.25	Jiri Lehecka - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLL
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Marrakech
06.04.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	Luciano Darderi - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Luciano Darderi - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Luciano Darderi - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.07.22	Jiri Lehecka - Luciano Darderi	1:2

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