Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Valentin Vacherot		Stefanos Tsitsipas

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.30	1.60
	2.38	1.56	Watch
	2.38	1.55	Watch
	2.45	1.57
	2.43	1.6	Watch
	2.38	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.4)	1.57 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
39.7%

Stefanos Tsitsipas
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Valentin Vacherot - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Vacherot will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tsitsipas will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tsitsipas: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tsitsipas (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Stefanos Tsitsipas (1.60) (votes: 92%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Vacherot is ranked ATP: 18., and Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 44..

In recent outings, Vacherot has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Tsitsipas is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Vacherot could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Tsitsipas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Tsitsipas in today's match, at odds of 1.55.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefanos Tsitsipas - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 61.07%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Tokyo
29.09.26	Valentin Vacherot - Alexander Blockx	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
26.09.26	Valentin Vacherot - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Otto Virtanen - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Eero Vasa - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
04.09.26	Valentin Vacherot - Francis Tiafoe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWL
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
28.09.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Alex Molcan - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Norbert Gombos - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWW

Upcoming Matches