Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Valentin Vacherot		Arthur Fils

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	4.10	1.22	Watch
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	4.11	1.25	Watch
	4.05	1.26
	4.01	1.26	Watch
	3.75	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.77)	1.25 ↓ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
23.9%

Arthur Fils
76.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

74.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Valentin Vacherot - Arthur Fils Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Vacherot will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fils will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fils (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Fils (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fils (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vacherot is ranked ATP: 18., and Fils is ranked ATP: 9..

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Fils may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Fils for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Vacherot has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Fils - the odds 1.26 are the expected chance of winning is 74.92%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Tokyo
01.10.26	Valentin Vacherot - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
29.09.26	Valentin Vacherot - Alexander Blockx	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
26.09.26	Valentin Vacherot - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Otto Virtanen - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Eero Vasa - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWW
- Arthur Fils
ATP Tokyo
02.10.26	Arthur Fils - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Arthur Fils - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Arthur Fils - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Arthur Fils - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Fils	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
24.03.26	Valentin Vacherot - Arthur Fils	1:2

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