Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Christian Garin

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.25	Watch
	1.59	2.32	Watch
	1.33	3.22	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.63	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)	2.46 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
61.2%

Christian Garin
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Christian Garin Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Garin will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Garin (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Garin (4.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 2 - 50%). Garin (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 78. Garin is ranked ATP: 89.

Cerundolo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Garin is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Garin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cerundolo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 60.25%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.26	Vit Kopriva - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Daniel Altmaier - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LWWLW
- Christian Garin
ATP Rio de Janeiro
16.02.26	Christian Garin - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
09.02.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Christian Garin	Canceled ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Christian Garin - Luciano Darderi	0:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
09.01.26	Christian Garin - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
04.01.26	Christian Garin - Michael Mmoh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 L?LLL

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Christian Garin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide