Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Juncheng Shang		Lorenzo Sonego

	1	2
	1.62	2.30	Watch
	1.62	2.25	Watch
	1.60	2.33	Watch
	1.73	2.32
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.65	2.25	Watch
	1.64	2.40	Watch
	1.64	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.73)	2.31 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 0.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juncheng Shang
58.5%

Lorenzo Sonego
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Juncheng Shang - Lorenzo Sonego Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 Games - Shang (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shang (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shang is ranked ATP: 281. Sonego is ranked ATP: 88.

Sonego's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Shang may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shang will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shang won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Sonego - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 45.17%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP Montreal
06.08.26	Luciano Darderi - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Juncheng Shang - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Daniel Vallejo - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
27.07.26	Kei Nishikori - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWLL
- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
15.07.26	Raphael Collignon - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Lorenzo Sonego	3:1 ✺
02.07.26	Gabriel Diallo - Lorenzo Sonego	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hong Kong
08.01.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Juncheng Shang	0:2
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Juncheng Shang	Sonego L. walkover

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