Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday


	Luciano Darderi		Juncheng Shang

	1	2
	2.00	1.80	Watch
	1.98	1.80
	2.05	1.77	Watch
	2.04	1.88
	2.01	1.8	Watch
	2.01	1.86	Watch
	2.03	1.82	Watch
	2.03	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.77)	1.82 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
47.4%

Juncheng Shang
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luciano Darderi's form might have worsened.

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juncheng Shang's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.3%	0%	21.7%

Luciano Darderi - Juncheng Shang Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 61.4% – 95.12%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rain delay.

Darderi is ranked ATP: 22. Shang is ranked ATP: 281.

In recent matches, Darderi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Darderi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Luciano Darderi - Gabriel Diallo	Diallo G. Retired ✺
ATP Los Cabos
30.07.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Luciano Darderi	Darderi L. Retired ✺
ATP Estoril
25.07.26	Alexander Blockx - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
24.07.26	Jaime Faria - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
23.07.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 ??LWW
- Juncheng Shang
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Juncheng Shang - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Daniel Vallejo - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
27.07.26	Kei Nishikori - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
16.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLLL

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