Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Daniil Medvedev		Juncheng Shang

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.28	3.6
	1.18	4.5	Watch
	1.15	5.38	Watch
	1.22	4.2
	1.18	5.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↑ (1.17)	4.62 ↑ (4.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
79.4%

Juncheng Shang
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.3%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Juncheng Shang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Daniil Medvedev - Juncheng Shang Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Shang will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 67.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Daniil Medvedev will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11. Shang is ranked ATP: 261.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Shang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Medvedev is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Medvedev won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniil Medvedev - the odds 1.17 are the expected chance of winning is 79.29%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Doha
18.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
09.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
25.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Learner Tien	0:3 ✺
22.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Fabian Marozsan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLW
- Juncheng Shang
ATP Doha
16.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Juncheng Shang	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Juncheng Shang - Roberto Bautista-Agut	3:1 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
09.01.26	Juncheng Shang - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
08.01.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Doha
16.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Juncheng Shang	2:0

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