Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Karen Khachanov		Nishesh Basavareddy

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.31	3.5	Watch
	1.34	3.28	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.29	3.74	Watch
	1.28	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.42)	3.42 ↑ (2.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
72.2%

Nishesh Basavareddy
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karen Khachanov's performance.

Nishesh Basavareddy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nishesh Basavareddy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.3%	0%	3.7%

Karen Khachanov - Nishesh Basavareddy Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Basavareddy (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Basavareddy (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4 Games - Khachanov (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 37.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Karen Khachanov will win (26 of 27 users predict this - 96.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.18% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Karen Khachanov will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 16 - 88.9%). Basavareddy (votes: 2 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 18. Basavareddy is ranked ATP: 242.

Basavareddy is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Khachanov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Khachanov is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Khachanov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Karen Khachanov - Alex Michelsen	3:2 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
08.01.26	Michael Mmoh - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
30.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
27.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWW
- Nishesh Basavareddy
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Christopher OConnell - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:3 ✺
14.01.26	George Loffhagen - Nishesh Basavareddy	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Nishesh Basavareddy - Sebastian Ofner	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Alexis Galarneau - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
05.01.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
25.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Nishesh Basavareddy	3:1

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