Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Italy	Super Tennis
Slovakia	Voyo
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Karolina Muchova		Paula Badosa

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.75
	1.49	2.82
	1.47	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.59)	2.76 ↑ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Karolina Muchova
65.3%

Paula Badosa
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karolina Muchova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karolina Muchova's performance.

Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paula Badosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Karolina Muchova - Paula Badosa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Muchova will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Badosa will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Badosa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Muchova (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Muchova (votes: 1 - 50%). Badosa (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Muchova is ranked WTA: 15. Badosa is ranked WTA: 18.

Muchova is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Badosa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Muchova is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Muchova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karolina Muchova
WTA Beijing
26.09.25	Karolina Muchova - Sorana Cirstea	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
03.09.25	Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Marta Kostyuk - Karolina Muchova	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Linda Noskova - Karolina Muchova	1:2 ✺
28.08.25	Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWW
- Paula Badosa
WTA Beijing
26.09.25	Antonia Ruzic - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
17.09.25	Paula Badosa - Elina Svitolina	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
30.06.25	Paula Badosa - Katie Boulter	1:2 ✺
WTA Berlin
20.06.25	Paula Badosa - Xin Yu Wang	Badosa P. retired ✺
18.06.25	Paula Badosa - Emma Navarro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLL?W

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wimbledon
01.07.24	Paula Badosa - Karolina Muchova	2:0
WTA Roma
16.05.23	Paula Badosa - Karolina Muchova	2:1
WTA Wimbledon
05.07.21	Paula Badosa - Karolina Muchova	0:2

Upcoming Matches