Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Learner Tien		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.35	1.33	Watch
	3.65	1.33
	3.23	1.34	Watch
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.31	1.34	Watch
	3.35	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3)	1.34 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
28.6%

Tomas Machac
71.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Learner Tien - Tomas Machac Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Tien (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tomas Machac will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tomas Machac will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tien (votes: 1 - 25%). Machac (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 70. Machac is ranked ATP: 20.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Machac may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Machac is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tien won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Learner Tien - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Learner Tien - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Learner Tien - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
ATP Munich
14.04.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Learner Tien - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLW
- Tomas Machac
ATP Madrid
26.04.25	Jacob Fearnley - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.25	Tomas Machac - Francis Tiafoe	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.25	Tomas Machac - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
08.04.25	Tomas Machac - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.25	Tomas Machac - Jakub Mensik	Mensik J. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 L?LW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Acapulco
27.02.25	Learner Tien - Tomas Machac	0:2

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