Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tolentino, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday


	Laura Samsonova		Noemi Basiletti

	1	2
	1.40	2.75	Watch
	1.40	2.80
	1.38	2.88	Watch
	1.4	2.76	Watch
	1.38	2.80
	1.38	2.81	Watch
	1.39	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.32)	2.8 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laura Samsonova
66.8%

Noemi Basiletti
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laura Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Noemi Basiletti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laura Samsonova than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noemi Basiletti than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Laura Samsonova - Noemi Basiletti Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Samsonova will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Basiletti will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Basiletti (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Samsonova is ranked WTA: 118., and Basiletti is ranked WTA: 277..

In recent outings, Samsonova has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Basiletti is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Samsonova for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laura Samsonova
ATP Challenger
19.09.26	Samira De Stefano - Laura Samsonova	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Anastasiya Soboleva - Laura Samsonova	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Weronika Falkowska - Laura Samsonova	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Laura Samsonova	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
25.08.26	Laura Samsonova - Tamara Zidansek	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL
- Noemi Basiletti
ATP Challenger
19.09.26	Mona Barthel - Noemi Basiletti	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Noemi Basiletti - Ekaterine Gorgodze	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Noemi Basiletti - Julie Struplova	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Lola Radivojevic - Noemi Basiletti	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.08.26	Barbora Palicova - Noemi Basiletti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWW

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