Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 July 2025, Monday


	Learner Tien		Emilio Nava

	1	2
	1.54	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.6	2.3	Watch
	1.69	2.27
	1.66	2.20	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.59	2.4	Watch
	1.65	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.65)	2.29 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
58.6%

Emilio Nava
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Emilio Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Learner Tien - Emilio Nava Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Nava will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tien: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tien (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 67. Nava is ranked ATP: 123.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Tien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tien will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Nicolas Jarry - Learner Tien	3:0 ✺
30.06.25	Learner Tien - Nishesh Basavareddy	3:0 ✺
ATP Mallorca
26.06.25	Learner Tien - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
25.06.25	Ben Shelton - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
23.06.25	Learner Tien - Justin Engel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLWW
- Emilio Nava
ATP Los Cabos
17.07.25	Andrey Rublev - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
16.07.25	Emilio Nava - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
14.07.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Emilio Nava - Dominic Stephan Stricker	0:2 ✺
23.06.25	Emilio Nava - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWLW

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