Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Learner Tien		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.42	2.9	Watch
	1.44	2.8	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.42	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.59)	2.84 ↑ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
66.5%

Nuno Borges
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Learner Tien's performance.

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nuno Borges might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Learner Tien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuno Borges could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.5%	0%	6.5%

Learner Tien - Nuno Borges Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 36.5 Games - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -3 Games - Tien (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Borges (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Learner Tien will win (28 of 30 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Learner Tien will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Tien (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Borges (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

#ad

Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 29. Borges is ranked ATP: 46.

Tien is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Borges has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tien could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tien won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Learner Tien - Alexander Shevchenko	3:1 ✺
18.01.26	Learner Tien - Marcos Giron	3:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
06.01.26	Alex Michelsen - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
ATP Next Gen Finals
21.12.25	Learner Tien - Alexander Blockx	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWW
- Nuno Borges
ATP Australian Open
20.01.26	Jordan Thompson - Nuno Borges	1:3 ✺
18.01.26	Nuno Borges - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Auger-Aliassime F. retired ✺
ATP Auckland
13.01.26	Nuno Borges - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Nuno Borges - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
09.01.26	Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 W?LWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
27.10.25	Learner Tien - Nuno Borges	2:0

Upcoming Matches