Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Fe - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday


	Leonardo Aboian		Miguel Tobon

	1	2
			Watch
	1.82	1.88	Watch
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.84	1.88	Watch
	1.82	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.85)	1.88 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonardo Aboian
50.5%

Miguel Tobon
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonardo Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Miguel Tobon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonardo Aboian than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (+3%)

Leonardo Aboian - Miguel Tobon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aboian (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Aboian is ranked ATP: 669. Tobon is ranked ATP: 805.

Aboian is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tobon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leonardo Aboian
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Leonardo Aboian - Mateo Barreiros Reyes	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Tristan McCormick - Leonardo Aboian	1:2 ✺
13.05.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Leonardo Aboian	Canceled ✺
04.05.25	Wilson Leite - Leonardo Aboian	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Leonardo Aboian - Eduardo Ribeiro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LW?LL
- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Hernan Casanova - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
13.05.25	Daniel Antonio Nunez - Miguel Tobon	1:2 ✺
18.04.25	Miguel Tobon - Juan Pablo Ficovich	0:2 ✺
16.04.25	Patrick Zahraj - Miguel Tobon	Zahraj P. retired ✺
15.04.25	Aidan Mayo - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWL?W

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