Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan - Qualification, hard - FinalDate: 22 September 2025, Monday
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Lloyd Harris |
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Luca Castelnuovo |
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- The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lloyd Harris 81.9% | Luca Castelnuovo 18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lloyd Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lloyd Harris's performance.Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Castelnuovo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lloyd Harris that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Castelnuovo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Lloyd Harris - Luca Castelnuovo Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Harris (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 Sets - Harris (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Harris (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Harris is ranked ATP: 258. Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 465.Harris has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).Castelnuovo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Castelnuovo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;