Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Carboni		Oliver Crawford

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.58	1.52
	3.90	1.23	Watch
	2.59	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.7)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Carboni
33.1%

Oliver Crawford
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

65.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Oliver Crawford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliver Crawford than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Lorenzo Carboni - Oliver Crawford Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Carboni will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Crawford will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Crawford (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carboni is ranked ATP: 445. Crawford is ranked ATP: 184.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Crawford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Crawford could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Carboni - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.86%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Oliver Crawford - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 65.14%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Carboni
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Lorenzo Carboni - John Echeverria	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Luka Mikrut - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Iannis Miletich	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL
- Oliver Crawford
ATP Challenger
10.09.25	Daniel Evans - Oliver Crawford	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Oliver Crawford - Linang Xiao	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Oliver Crawford - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Oliver Crawford - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Oliver Crawford - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL

Lorenzo Carboni - Oliver Crawford: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide