Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday


	Lorenzo Musetti		Quentin Halys

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.54	Watch
	1.55	2.35	Watch
	1.55	2.42	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.59	2.4	Watch
	1.55	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.6)	2.42 ↑ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
61%

Quentin Halys
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Quentin Halys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Musetti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quentin Halys than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quentin Halys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Lorenzo Musetti - Quentin Halys Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Halys will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 16. Halys is ranked ATP: 57.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Musetti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Musetti will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Musetti won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.25	Arthur Fils - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Roman Safiullin - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Lorenzo Musetti	Canceled ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
14.02.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Pedro Martinez Portero	Martinez P. walkover ✺
13.02.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LW??W
- Quentin Halys
ATP Miami
19.03.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Quentin Halys - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Quentin Halys - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
28.02.25	Quentin Halys - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
27.02.25	Luca Nardi - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.02.20	Lorenzo Musetti - Quentin Halys	1:2

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