Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Metz, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday


	Lorenzo Sonego		Daniel Altmaier

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.57	2.57
	1.53	2.41	Watch
			Watch
	1.56	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.53)	2.49 ↑ (2.41)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
61.9%

Daniel Altmaier
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Daniel Altmaier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	0%	46.7%

Lorenzo Sonego - Daniel Altmaier Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Altmaier will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sonego (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Altmaier (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 42. Altmaier is ranked ATP: 46.

Sonego is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Altmaier's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sonego may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sonego could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sonego won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Sonego - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 61.17%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Metz
04.11.25	Flavio Cobolli - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Jan Choinski - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ATP Paris
30.10.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
27.10.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWLWW
- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Metz
05.11.25	Hugo Gaston - Daniel Altmaier	Gaston H. retired ✺
04.11.25	Daniel Altmaier - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
30.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Daniel Altmaier - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Daniel Altmaier - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 ?WLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.10.17	Lorenzo Sonego - Daniel Altmaier	2:0
ITF Tournaments
12.09.15	Daniel Altmaier - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2

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