Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday


	Lorenzo Sonego		Edas Butvilas

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.66	2.18	Watch
	1.72	2.29
	1.63	2.22	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.68	2.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.44)	2.21 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
56.7%

Edas Butvilas
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Sonego's form might have worsened.

Edas Butvilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Edas Butvilas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Sonego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Edas Butvilas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	0%	41.2%

Lorenzo Sonego - Edas Butvilas Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Butvilas will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sonego (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Butvilas (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 66. Butvilas is ranked ATP: 256.

Sonego has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Butvilas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Butvilas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sonego is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Butvilas will win today's game, with odds of 2.22.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
16.04.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLW
- Edas Butvilas
ATP Geneva
17.05.26	James Duckworth - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Edas Butvilas - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Edas Butvilas - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Edas Butvilas - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLWW

Lorenzo Sonego - Edas Butvilas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide