Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday


	Lorenzo Sonego		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.7	2	Watch
	1.65	2.37
	1.6	2.22	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.73)	2.13 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
56.2%

Mattia Bellucci
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Lorenzo Sonego - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sonego (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Sonego will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 62. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 78.

Bellucci's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sonego may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Sonego - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.66%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
16.04.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Matteo Berrettini	Canceled ✺
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Lorenzo Sonego	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLW?L
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Damir Dzumhur - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Jonas Forejtek - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Mattia Bellucci - Dino Prizmic	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Stefano Travaglia - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWWW

Lorenzo Sonego - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide