Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday


	Lorenzo Sonego		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.36	1.6	Watch
	2.45	1.62
	2.4	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.35	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.26)	1.59 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
40.2%

Ignacio Buse
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Lorenzo Sonego - Ignacio Buse Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Buse will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sonego (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 66. Buse is ranked ATP: 62.

Buse has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Buse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Buse might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Sonego - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 42.1%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Ignacio Buse - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 57.9%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
16.04.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Matteo Berrettini	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLW?
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Ignacio Buse - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Ignacio Buse - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Arthur Fils - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Ignacio Buse - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW

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