Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Lorenzo Sonego		Tallon Griekspoor

	1	2
	2.10	1.73	Watch
	2.10	1.72
	2.05	1.77	Watch
	2.15	1.79
	2	1.81	Watch
	2.11	1.75	Watch
	2.12	1.74	Watch
	2.05	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2)	1.76 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
45.7%

Tallon Griekspoor
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Tallon Griekspoor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallon Griekspoor than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lorenzo Sonego - Tallon Griekspoor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Griekspoor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 80. Griekspoor is ranked ATP: 67.

Sonego has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Griekspoor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Griekspoor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sonego won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Tallon Griekspoor - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 52.63%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Gstaad
15.07.26	Raphael Collignon - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Lorenzo Sonego	3:1 ✺
02.07.26	Gabriel Diallo - Lorenzo Sonego	2:3 ✺
30.06.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWW
- Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Washington
27.07.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
18.07.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Cameron Norrie	2:3 ✺
17.07.26	Joao Fonseca - Tallon Griekspoor	3:1 ✺
16.07.26	Corentin Moutet - Tallon Griekspoor	2:3 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Tallon Griekspoor - James Duckworth	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montreal
06.08.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1
ATP Paris
30.10.22	Lorenzo Sonego - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1

Lorenzo Sonego - Tallon Griekspoor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide