Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday


	Denis Shapovalov		Learner Tien

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.56	2.37	Watch
	1.63	2.42
	1.50	2.52	Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.54	2.53	Watch
	1.5	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.51)	2.48 ↓ (2.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
61.6%

Learner Tien
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Denis Shapovalov - Learner Tien Predictions

Users Predictions: Denis Shapovalov will win (24 of 30 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.69% – 94.31%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Denis Shapovalov will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 29. Tien is ranked ATP: 61.

Shapovalov is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Tien has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tien may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shapovalov could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Denis Shapovalov - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 63.43%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Los Cabos
19.07.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Denis Shapovalov - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
17.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Govind Nanda - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Mariano Navone - Denis Shapovalov	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWL
- Learner Tien
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Colton Smith - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
24.07.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Learner Tien - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Learner Tien - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Nicolas Jarry - Learner Tien	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWL

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