Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Luca Van Assche		Diego Dedura-Palomero

	1	2
			Watch
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.43	3.2
	1.4	2.86	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.37	3.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.39)	3 ↑ (2.77)

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
68.4%

Diego Dedura-Palomero
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Diego Dedura-Palomero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diego Dedura-Palomero than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Luca Van Assche - Diego Dedura Palomero Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Dedura-Palomero will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Assche (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Van Assche is ranked ATP: 100. Dedura-Palomero is ranked ATP: 258.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Van Assche may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Van Assche is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
16.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Timofey Skatov - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Raphael Collignon - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
08.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWW
- Diego Dedura-Palomero
ATP Munich
14.04.26	Flavio Cobolli - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Diego Dedura-Palomero	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Inaki Montes De La Torre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWLW

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