Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday


	Ben Shelton		Jack Draper

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.85	1.48
	2.59	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.71	1.51	Watch
	2.6	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (1.91)	1.5 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
36.1%

Jack Draper
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ben Shelton's form might have worsened.

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jack Draper's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ben Shelton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jack Draper, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.7%	0%	59.3%

Ben Shelton - Jack Draper Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Shelton will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%). Draper will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draper: 40.8% – 77.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shelton is ranked ATP: 12. Draper is ranked ATP: 14.

Now both players are in good shape.

Draper will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Draper to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.25	Brandon Nakashima - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
10.03.25	Karen Khachanov - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Mariano Navone - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
26.02.25	David Goffin - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Flavio Cobolli - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW
- Jack Draper
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.25	Jack Draper - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Jack Draper - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Jack Draper - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
22.02.25	Jack Draper - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Jiri Lehecka - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW

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