Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Luciano Darderi		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.75	Watch
	2.07	1.76	Watch
	2.1	1.8
	2.07	1.72	Watch
	2.1	1.77	Watch
	2.07	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.04)	1.76 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
45.8%

Bu Yunchaokete
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Luciano Darderi - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Yunchaokete will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Yunchaokete (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bu Yunchaokete will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Yunchaokete (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 30. Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 89.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Darderi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Darderi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Bu Yunchaokete - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 53.09%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Tokyo
26.09.25	Jenson Brooksby - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
19.09.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Luciano Darderi - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Luciano Darderi - Tom Gentzsch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWW
- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Shanghai
02.10.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Alex De Minaur - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
18.09.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Zhizhen Zhang	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
14.09.25	Michael Agwi - Bu Yunchaokete	Canceled ✺
13.09.25	Peter Buldorini - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLL?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
07.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Luciano Darderi	0:2

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