Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Luciano Darderi		Dalibor Svrcina

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.18
	1.67	2.15
	1.76	2.21
	1.69	2.17	Watch
	1.72	2.14
	1.7	2.21	Watch
	1.66	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.45)	2.18 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 37.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
56.3%

Dalibor Svrcina
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luciano Darderi's form might have worsened.

Dalibor Svrcina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dalibor Svrcina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luciano Darderi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dalibor Svrcina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 22. Svrcina is ranked ATP: 134.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darderi won 3.

Darderi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Svrcina is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Darderi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Darderi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Darderi won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Luciano Darderi - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 66.36%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Luciano Darderi - Harry Wendelken	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Mattia Bellucci - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Luciano Darderi - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
11.08.26	Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLL
- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Valentin Royer	3:2 ✺
28.08.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Los Cabos
30.07.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Luciano Darderi	Darderi L. Retired
ATP Challenger
30.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina	2:1
31.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0
24.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina	Canceled
05.06.23	Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina	1:2
14.07.22	Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina	2:1

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