Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Montreal 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	22:35	ESPN
Australia	11:35	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	22:35	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	04:35	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 2
Colombia	20:35	ESPN
Croatia	03:35	SportKlub 10, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 8, SportKlub 9
Czech Republic	03:35	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	03:35	TV2 Play
Finland	04:35	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	03:35	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	03:35	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Peru	20:35	ESPN 2
Poland	03:35	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	02:35	Sport TV2
Sweden	03:35	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
United Kingdom	02:35	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+


	Luciano Darderi		Gabriel Diallo

	1	2
	2.30	1.62	Watch
	2.30	1.60
	2.18	1.68	Watch
	2.40	1.64
	2.33	1.61	Watch
	2.35	1.62	Watch
	2.26	1.67	Watch
	2.31	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.72)	1.64 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
41.5%

Gabriel Diallo
58.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luciano Darderi's form might have worsened.

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gabriel Diallo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luciano Darderi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gabriel Diallo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Luciano Darderi - Gabriel Diallo Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). Diallo will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diallo: 54.7% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Diallo (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 22. Diallo is ranked ATP: 108.

In recent matches, Darderi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Diallo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Darderi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Los Cabos
30.07.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Luciano Darderi	Darderi L. Retired ✺
ATP Estoril
25.07.26	Alexander Blockx - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
24.07.26	Jaime Faria - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
23.07.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
19.07.26	Andrey Rublev - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 ?LWWL
- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Montreal
03.08.26	Gabriel Diallo - Kyrian Jacquet	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
27.07.26	Gabriel Diallo - Tristan Boyer	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Gabriel Diallo - Lorenzo Sonego	2:3 ✺
30.06.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Gabriel Diallo	Bonzi B. Retired ✺
ATP Eastbourne
25.06.26	Jack Draper - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLL?L

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Vienna
27.10.26	Luciano Darderi - Matteo Arnaldi	✺
- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Challenger
27.10.26	Gabriel Diallo - Nishesh Basavareddy	✺

Luciano Darderi - Gabriel Diallo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide